Made-Up-Scope
0x25acbc1de3c3d0521bda577c18377303a1d03e47
Made-Up-Scope: −$8.9K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.9K
return −27.3%
Settled bets
12
$32K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$7.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | SELL Legacy
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 75¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Sep 11 | BUY FURIA
@ 89¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | $4.7K |
| Sep 11 | BUY MIBR
@ 95¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | $4.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY B8
@ 90¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs | $2.4K |
| Sep 8 | BUY TheMongolz
@ 75¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $1.5K |
| Sep 8 | SELL Legacy
@ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 95¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.