Lucky-Extremist
0x257c5e8ad1b65aaac25fde4711a9663c3bb7a408
Lucky-Extremist: −$2.5K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 9%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −31.8%
Settled bets
19
$7.8K staked
Won
21.1%
95% range 9%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | SELL KT Rolster Challengers
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 54¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 8 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.9K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 75¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season |
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | SELL LYON
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | $4.1K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 82¢
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Aug 28 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 80¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.