Descriptive-Statin-Shearling
0x2525e5ba54e1c8496de7efe311f041663a123ddd
Descriptive-Statin-Shearling: −$12K on 42 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 19%–46%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$12K
return −19.7%
Settled bets
42
$61K staked
Won
31.0%
95% range 19%–46%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$9.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | SELL K27
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: K27 vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Sep 26 | SELL paiN
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY NIP
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Team Nemesis
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY K27
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | $3.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY K27
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $4.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B |
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.