Doting-Shoulder
0x2518940d122e38d235d367ea4557eaff2796254f
Doting-Shoulder: −$43 on 43 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 39%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$43
return −0.1%
Settled bets
43
$46K staked
Won
53.5%
95% range 39%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 55¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Team Liquid
@ 72¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LYON
@ 47¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL FURIA Esports
@ 59¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY FURIA Esports
@ 51¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LOUD
@ 51¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY BIG
@ 62¢
LoL: BIG vs NightBirds - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: BIG vs NightBirds - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
@ 60¢
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.