Scaly-Trust

0x22324a677d18c06d92ea9bcebe9272dac99af6fa

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scaly-Trust: +$348 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$348
return +11.2%
Settled bets
5
$3.1K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$348
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 22 SELL Miami Marlins @ 99.9¢
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins $2.1K
Aug 22 SELL Boston Red Sox @ 99.9¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox $1.9K
Aug 21 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 89¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers $2.0K
Aug 20 SELL Atlanta Braves @ 99.9¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox $2.3K
Aug 20 BUY St. Louis Cardinals @ 91¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds $1.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed