Absolute-Superiority

0x21ae9a5da4197277b55594ef28cf222d3ea097cc

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Absolute-Superiority: −$8 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$8
return −0.2%
Settled bets
1
$3.3K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$8
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 SELL Ole Miss @ 99.9¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $7.6K
Sep 19 SELL Ole Miss @ 43¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $3.3K
Sep 19 BUY Ole Miss @ 43¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $3.3K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed