Weird-Networking
0x21468ad63a833f5f9ea5c2835fb4e9dec57ad41b
Weird-Networking: +$27K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 34%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$27K
return +20.0%
Settled bets
27
$136K staked
Won
51.9%
95% range 34%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$27K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | BUY Team Lynx
@ 50¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner | $10K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Portland Fire
@ 52¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5) |
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5) | $1.9K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Toronto Tempo
@ 12¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces |
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces | $2.4K |
| Aug 27 | BUY ex-MIBR Academy
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY New York Liberty
@ 59¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty |
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | $1.2K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Toronto Tempo
@ 29¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm |
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm | $2.6K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Team Synapse
@ 45¢
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner | $2.7K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Inner Circle
@ 46¢
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.