Concerned-Terracotta-Stockings

0x206458c9b8c96e382d033f517c1feefbd5d5240d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Concerned-Terracotta-Stockings: −$2.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.0K
return −46.2%
Settled bets
4
$4.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 22 BUY Team Liquid @ 38¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.9K
Aug 21 BUY Texas Rangers @ 83¢
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers $1.3K
Aug 20 BUY TEAM VISION @ 92¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.1K
Aug 20 SELL TEAM VISION @ 73¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Aug 19 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 70¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians $2.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed