Slimy-Fowl-Argument
0x203b0141b5a1301ca7dbbab6908a2443982646e1
Slimy-Fowl-Argument: −$20K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 32%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$20K
return −18.1%
Settled bets
36
$108K staked
Won
47.2%
95% range 32%–63%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$18K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | SELL Top Esports
@ 52¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 47¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Anyones Legend
@ 36¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | $5.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 31¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 44¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | $5.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 43¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 58¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | $6.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 39¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.