Definite-Avocado

0x1fe8df18a82765ec4f3bc5ff36c39e61a4c772bc

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Definite-Avocado: +$1.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +14.0%
Settled bets
8
$11K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$915
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$151
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$515
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 BUY Sharks @ 96¢
Panthers vs. Sharks
Panthers vs. Sharks $2.1K
Sep 27 BUY Kyrian Jacquet @ 73¢
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet $1.2K
Sep 6 BUY Naomi Osaka @ 92¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens $1.8K
Sep 4 BUY Michael Zheng @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng
US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng $1.6K
Aug 29 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 68¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers $1.0K
Aug 27 BUY St. Louis Cardinals @ 75¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals $1.2K
Aug 26 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 76¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels $1.2K
Aug 26 BUY Carles Hernandez @ 56¢
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo (Spain), clay: Ryan Nijboer vs Carles Hernandez
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo (Spain), clay: Ryan Nijboer vs Carles Hernandez $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed