Frail-Clinic-Expectation
0x1fac964877a1ade4d47001e81bf5c18f296ca21e
Frail-Clinic-Expectation: −$3.7K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 16%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.7K
return −20.8%
Settled bets
14
$18K staked
Won
35.7%
95% range 16%–61%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL 1win
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 80¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 96¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $4.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 65¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Aurora
@ 75¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.