Adored-Baseball

0x1ede8a954f06ff64717c95ea2dab774d4bf42de3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Adored-Baseball: −$796 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$796
return −28.0%
Settled bets
2
$2.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$674
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 59¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 67¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers $1.4K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed