Odd-Beggar
0x1e7792acc779a6af8304bd7991ff31d16d468c33
Odd-Beggar: −$111K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 29%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$111K
return −44.6%
Settled bets
13
$248K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 29%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$327
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$110K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Dolphins
@ 49¢
Spread: Vikings (-9.5) |
Spread: Vikings (-9.5) | $49K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 51.5 |
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 51.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 57.5 |
Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 57.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Western Michigan vs. Buffalo: O/U 45.5 |
Western Michigan vs. Buffalo: O/U 45.5 | $28K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 48¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | $72K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 48¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | $72K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Broncos
@ 46¢
Rams vs. Broncos |
Rams vs. Broncos | $8.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 48¢
Vikings vs. Buccaneers |
Vikings vs. Buccaneers | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.