Famous-Stonework
0x1d2efa184454366ad3e79f3395d25396c20b896d
Famous-Stonework: +$97K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 43%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$97K
return +41.3%
Settled bets
26
$235K staked
Won
61.5%
95% range 43%–78%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$29K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$68K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $38K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 45¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | $27K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 27¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? |
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? | $2.7K |
| Sep 5 | BUY FC Schalke 04
@ 60¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | $11K |
| Sep 5 | BUY FC Schalke 04
@ 38¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | $5.1K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Toronto Tempo
@ 57¢
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) |
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) | $2.4K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 |
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 |
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.