Shameless-Churn
0x1c8ce18d9eefcdefe9d08073c4124efe0eb6dc9e
Shameless-Churn: −$669 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$669
return −6.0%
Settled bets
8
$11K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$669
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
@ 79¢
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg |
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $1.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Marco Trungelliti
@ 57¢
Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti |
Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti | $1.7K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Over
@ 98¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $4.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Suzan Lamens
@ 53¢
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens |
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens | $1.9K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Shopify Rebellion
@ 56¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 36¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Eva Lys
@ 29¢
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska |
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | $1.9K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.