Calculating-Public-Hair

0x1bcddab836d0406761f46c2981339d8f365c0a69

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Calculating-Public-Hair: −$8.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$8.6K
return −52.0%
Settled bets
7
$16K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$104
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$8.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY fnatic @ 56¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $3.6K
Oct 9 BUY fnatic @ 56¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $3.1K
Oct 8 BUY Betclic Apogee Esports @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 7 BUY K27 @ 57¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Metizport (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Metizport (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY ShindeN @ 49¢
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5) $1.5K
Sep 18 BUY 3DMAX @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B $5.0K
Sep 17 BUY Inner Circle Esports @ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B $1.3K
Sep 17 BUY B8 @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed