Dear-Vacation
0x1baea97d6fa6bd5b1cd1390d1339e748b7afae9f
Dear-Vacation: +$15 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$15
return +0.7%
Settled bets
6
$2.3K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$17
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | SELL KT Rolster
@ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Team WE
@ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) |
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Top Esports
@ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5) |
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Sep 8 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | $2.3K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.