Calm-Obstacle
0x1b1fb7a20d76fa09cd8c47bf020bd4d107c7d6d5
Calm-Obstacle: −$7.5K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$7.5K
return −28.5%
Settled bets
13
$26K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$7.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$306
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Vitality
@ 88¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner | $2.3K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 4 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 4 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 8 | SELL HULIGANI
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Vitality
@ 81¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 67¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Aug 24 | SELL INOX Division
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 77¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $9.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.