Tedious-Necessity
0x1851cc2a59239f189b52c51df00d3e1e4b537016
Tedious-Necessity: +$870 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$870
return +2.9%
Settled bets
4
$30K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$440
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY
@ 64¢
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 74¢
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND SK Brann vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND SK Brann vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 71¢
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY
@ 71¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Albania vs. San Marino: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Albania vs. San Marino: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY
@ 69¢
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? |
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? | $14K |
| Oct 3 | BUY
@ 80¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.