Spicy-Truth

0x17cb6a89c4276a7403e18126957d121a34353ab8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Spicy-Truth: −$16K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$16K
return −57.2%
Settled bets
6
$28K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$5.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$11K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL Over @ 34¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5 $1.1K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 53¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? $3.2K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 62¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? $15K
Sep 9 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp $4.6K
Sep 5 SELL Yes @ 47¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? $1.2K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27? $3.4K
Aug 22 SELL Yes @ 37¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? $4.7K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 86¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed