Harmless-Tumbler-Statement
0x174f74d9a879611d994fd9b562590feb72dea4ac
Harmless-Tumbler-Statement: +$15K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$15K
return +51.4%
Settled bets
8
$29K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.7K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL The Otter Side
@ 88¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B |
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | $17K |
| Sep 23 | BUY The Otter Side
@ 55¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B |
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | $3.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY The Otter Side
@ 51¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B |
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | $2.8K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Over
@ 55¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $5.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $3.9K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Deer Gaming
@ 83¢
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Deer Gaming
@ 74¢
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Deer Gaming
@ 73¢
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs |
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs | $3.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.