Naive-Glasses

0x171cefd7faf7d351bf12ba7ad1fa004e20ec867c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Naive-Glasses: +$1.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +57.0%
Settled bets
2
$2.9K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY B8 @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $1.6K
Sep 17 BUY B8 @ 66¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $1.3K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed