Bare-Fellow
0x167ef4770dfd6038ce4d9dd9f76e1c70ca5c28d9
Bare-Fellow: −$382 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$382
return −3.3%
Settled bets
7
$12K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $3.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY M80
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Up
@ 74¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4AM ET | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Down
@ 74¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Top Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $4.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Down
@ 67¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.