Complete-Leprosy
0x160db9bb5bf012f21251a74737093bcdc36f5295
Complete-Leprosy: −$12K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$12K
return −28.4%
Settled bets
13
$44K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$11K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BUY TheMongolz
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $1.3K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Team WE
@ 22¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Rams
@ 72¢
Rams vs. Chargers |
Rams vs. Chargers | $1.7K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Phoenix Mercury
@ 76¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury |
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury | $5.7K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Steelers
@ 70¢
Steelers vs. Bills |
Steelers vs. Bills | $1.7K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Clara Tauson
@ 42¢
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson |
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | $5.9K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Seattle Storm
@ 63¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm |
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm | $2.8K |
| Aug 25 | SELL Los Angeles Sparks
@ 24¢
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks |
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.