Colossal-Chaplain
0x151932d0b12055e6a6a8c5f5f0cef65dad918dfb
Colossal-Chaplain: −$482 on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 67%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$482
return −0.9%
Settled bets
18
$56K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 67%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$21
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$99
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$601
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | SELL Over
@ 60¢
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 |
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Over
@ 58¢
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 |
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY New York Liberty
@ 99.9¢
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx |
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx | $1.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 99¢
Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 |
Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | $9.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Over
@ 99.9¢
AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 |
AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 | $6.4K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Over
@ 99.71¢
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 0.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 0.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Over
@ 99.8¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.