Terrible-Weakness-Blackbird
0x14c7111afa871fb215339f365043d7b2837b9ccf
Terrible-Weakness-Blackbird: +$375K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 28%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$375K
return +40.0%
Settled bets
11
$938K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 28%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$375K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | $1.91M |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | $15K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | $208K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Ignacio Buse
@ 54¢
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi |
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi | $44K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Ignacio Buse
@ 46¢
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi |
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi | $65K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A |
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | $33K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $340K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 99.9¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $369K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.