Aggravating-Noun
0x14af7564566edfd07d1996ae8b08d6235d7aca2c
Aggravating-Noun: −$59K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 11%–52%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$59K
return −88.3%
Settled bets
15
$67K staked
Won
26.7%
95% range 11%–52%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$15K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$25K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$19K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY Sinners
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | $16K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
@ 59¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $1.6K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Sinners
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 27¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Karmine Corp
@ 71¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $3.4K |
| Sep 11 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C |
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C | $6.3K |
| Sep 9 | BUY TYLOO
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $18K |
| Sep 8 | BUY B8
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.