Poor-Head-Fritter
0x141a583405f75e596904ce6db4a3401129bad05a
Poor-Head-Fritter: +$17K on 53 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 38%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$17K
return +12.6%
Settled bets
53
$138K staked
Won
50.9%
95% range 38%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$19K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$235
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY LOS
@ 57¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cloud9
@ 58¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL HANJIN BRION
@ 86¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 63¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Anyones Legend
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.