Exotic-Vegetation-Marker

0x1316ebb019094a2267a27a697ecee08b5c5948a4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Exotic-Vegetation-Marker: −$1.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −12.8%
Settled bets
4
$9.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$270
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 BUY KT Rolster Challengers @ 60¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs $3.0K
Sep 19 BUY Movistar KOI @ 47¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) $1.4K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 31¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.9K
Aug 20 BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 58¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group $2.9K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed