Rotten-Interferometer

0x12afddef5bc473db74aa37b63a1119f34572ff78

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rotten-Interferometer: +$14K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14K
return +42.4%
Settled bets
4
$34K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$23K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$8.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 26 BUY Over @ 59¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds
O/U 2.5 Rounds $8.9K
Sep 12 BUY Curtis Blaydes @ 37¢
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) $4.1K
Sep 12 BUY Sean King @ 66¢
Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims)
Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims) $9.9K
Sep 12 BUY Under @ 50¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds
O/U 2.5 Rounds $11K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed