Sore-Ignorant-Ozone

0x12256afbe4b7ecaccc4cd411433959319cb29397

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Sore-Ignorant-Ozone: −$22K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$22K
return −183.1%
Settled bets
4
$12K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$22K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Team Spirit @ 47¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $2.6K
Oct 9 BUY @ 15¢
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 AND Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 AND Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 AND Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 AND Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 AND Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 AND Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5 $5.3K
Oct 9 SELL Over @ 18¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5 $4.1K
Oct 9 BUY Spirit @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $4.9K
Oct 9 BUY FURIA @ 37¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $4.6K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed