Fixed-Mink
0x119258c56ed97fd34e2e0196f7a7e78e76261406
Fixed-Mink: −$18K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$18K
return −41.1%
Settled bets
3
$45K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$18K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $26K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $26K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 34¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $8.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $9.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $9.7K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.