Polished-Adjustment
0x10d79cc72df76ea3d6bdc2d54f41dbcbbb18bbf6
Polished-Adjustment: +$7.8K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 36%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$7.8K
return +30.4%
Settled bets
19
$26K staked
Won
57.9%
95% range 36%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$7.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21 | SELL Spirit
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Vitality
@ 80¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Vitality
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Spirit
@ 36¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Vitality
@ 90¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Vitality
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Spirit
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Spirit
@ 86¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.