Offbeat-Dependent
0x106d82a0a67f9c7d9d7a4a28c32c6370ac03c168
Offbeat-Dependent: −$1.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −21.3%
Settled bets
3
$8.4K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Vitality
@ 90¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $2.3K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Legacy
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $4.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.