Optimal-Communist
0x1047f313c5b75f58b8e3075174356e76bb309036
Optimal-Communist: +$1.8K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 32%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +4.7%
Settled bets
21
$38K staked
Won
52.4%
95% range 32%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$5.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 60¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $1.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 61¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $1.7K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 34¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5 |
Games Total: O/U 4.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Team Novaq
@ 53¢
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Team Novaq (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Team Novaq (+1.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Dplus KIA Challengers
@ 50¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs |
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 67¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Sep 3 | BUY K27
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY G2 Esports
@ 39¢
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs |
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.