Abandoned-Bow

0x0ef9299f9b8707e499cfe19cf9b947a883383d08

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Abandoned-Bow: −$4.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.8K
return −38.5%
Settled bets
5
$12K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.4K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Sentinels @ 89¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner $1.5K
Sep 18 BUY Sentinels @ 87¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Sep 18 BUY JD Gaming @ 74¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.5K
Sep 2 SELL Estral Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner $1.8K
Aug 21 BUY T1 @ 65¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner $3.9K
Aug 20 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 73¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner $4.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed