Rough-Foxglove-Quit

0x0c9f6c0cff9e6e1bb37ac977ca51e49fe7585f5a

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rough-Foxglove-Quit: +$3.1K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 20%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.1K
return +13.1%
Settled bets
18
$24K staked
Won
38.9%
95% range 20%–61%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$5.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 49¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $2.8K
Sep 14 SELL KT Rolster Challengers @ 99.9¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner $5.6K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 60¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner $2.3K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 46¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner $2.4K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 51¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 12 BUY Team Vitality @ 68¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $1.7K
Sep 12 BUY Movistar KOI @ 63¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Sep 12 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $12K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed