Frivolous-Crowd
0x0bf840764ca2efac73ba45dbc67142fdd91403b2
Frivolous-Crowd: +$3.3K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 95% (95% range 76%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.3K
return +6.4%
Settled bets
20
$52K staked
Won
95.0%
95% range 76%–99%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$669
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$150
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 98¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY G2 Esports
@ 95¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 97¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 97¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 98¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Gen.G
@ 96¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $3.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 93¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 96¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.