Agreeable-Sin

0x0bab078fd3c79acc40269cc39f67de4e768d6832

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Agreeable-Sin: +$2.3K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 6%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.3K
return +113.5%
Settled bets
10
$2.0K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 6%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$10
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.3K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY LYON @ 54¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Oct 4 SELL LYON @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner $2.1K
Sep 19 SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $2.1K
Sep 12 BUY Movistar KOI @ 46¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Aug 29 SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner $2.9K
Aug 29 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Aug 24 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner $1.6K
Aug 24 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed