Late-Breastplate
0x0b89cd3647971208a854b542bb7498d3601ea4cd
Late-Breastplate: −$5.8K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 31%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.8K
return −10.9%
Settled bets
35
$53K staked
Won
45.7%
95% range 31%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$5.7K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Bilibili Gaming
@ 84¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $10K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 76¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Sep 10 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner | $4.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 98¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner | $3.9K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Dplus KIA Challengers
@ 98¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 6 | BUY T1
@ 98¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $5.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.