Stale-Manufacturing-Bower

0x0b24e89f86661d894c7e9cf93d53945614858e06

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stale-Manufacturing-Bower: +$1.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.1K
return +19.8%
Settled bets
5
$5.5K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL LYON @ 99¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner $1.8K
Oct 3 SELL PARIVISION @ 99¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $7.1K
Oct 3 BUY PARIVISION @ 69¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $3.7K
Oct 3 SELL Virginia Tech @ 48¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech $1.3K
Oct 2 BUY Virginia Tech @ 66¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech $1.8K
Oct 2 SELL K27 @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs $1.8K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed