Easy-Rally-Cursor

0x096f5aa775c6f9904508625a5c3836ffedb9194d

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Easy-Rally-Cursor: −$10K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 15%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$10K
return −42.7%
Settled bets
19
$24K staked
Won
31.6%
95% range 15%–54%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$8.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY US Lecce @ 46¢
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) $1.5K
Sep 20 BUY Under @ 67¢
Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 $1.4K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 56¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? $1.6K
Sep 19 BUY US Lecce @ 47¢
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) $1.3K
Sep 18 BUY Over @ 60¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? $2.0K
Sep 18 BUY Elche CF @ 72¢
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) $1.7K
Sep 17 BUY NEC @ 62¢
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed