Misty-Apparatus

0x057000dd171fc8acfc16464feb91a1b31b2e465e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Misty-Apparatus: −$5.9K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.9K
return −236.7%
Settled bets
6
$2.5K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$5.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 SELL No @ 91¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-23?
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-23? $5.9K
Aug 23 BUY No @ 37¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23? $1.1K
Aug 23 SELL No @ 50¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23? $3.3K
Aug 21 SELL No @ 52¢
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21? $1.4K
Aug 20 SELL No @ 82¢
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20? $3.0K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 59¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20? $1.4K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed