Whimsical-Shed

0x009d743ace81f4abeb791c8b4d356968c10ab146

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Whimsical-Shed: +$3.8K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 12%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.8K
return +58.7%
Settled bets
14
$6.5K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 12%–55%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.3K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.7K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY Boston Red Sox @ 55¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox $1.1K
Sep 23 SELL The Otter Side @ 99.9¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B $3.9K
Sep 23 SELL The Otter Side @ 99¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner $2.1K
Sep 20 BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 49¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.5K
Sep 17 SELL uralan @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan - Game 1 Winner $5.9K
Sep 17 BUY Top Esports @ 48¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.4K
Sep 16 BUY Black Phoenix @ 52¢
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage $1.2K
Sep 2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $5.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed