Polymarket market · Sports

Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales put $401K into this market since Sep 27, 99% of their buying on Over. Under won. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$2.3K and 2 lost −$393K: −$391K between them.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Blushing-Salsa
8 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 53¢ $392K — −$392K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 48¢ $5.3K — +$2.3K
Fresh-Oar
2 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 52¢ $1.2K $1.2K —
Bossy-Weather
2 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 49¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $394K
    99% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.2K sold
  2. Under won
    $3.7K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Over lost
    $2.2K
    1% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 27 to Sep 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed