Remorseful-Journal-Blood

0xfc787f617d63f68b305a6f1b757d012c22f09017

Skill vs luck

Remorseful-Journal-Blood on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$5.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Remorseful-Journal-Blood: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xfc787f617d63f68b305a6f1b757d012c22f09017. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Remorseful-Journal-Blood: −$5.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.6K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
3
$5.6K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 16 – Oct 30
−$5.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 30 BUY Over @ 47¢
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5 $1.6K
Oct 30 BUY Over @ 42¢
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 $1.1K
Oct 30 BUY Mavericks @ 42¢
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) $1.2K
Oct 30 BUY Celtics @ 41¢
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)
Spread: Celtics (-17.5) $1.3K
Oct 28 BUY Under @ 51¢ Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 ↗ $3.2K
Oct 28 BUY Inner Circle Esports @ 47¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs $1.4K
Oct 28 BUY Manchester City FC @ 34¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) $1.1K
Oct 24 BUY Azamat Bekoev @ 52¢
UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed