Bleak-Democracy-Armament
Skill vs luck
Bleak-Democracy-Armament on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Bleak-Democracy-Armament: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf9b7078d574eb56ddceab8bc147b53629583cd10. Data CC BY 4.0.
Bleak-Democracy-Armament: −$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.