Awful-Gift
Skill vs luck
Awful-Gift on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Awful-Gift: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf989bd9c62b1eae2c388515fcc766527a8b147cc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Awful-Gift: −$1.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Natus Vincere @ 28¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $1.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.