Sore-Role

0xf802a499d7ff91f329dea4ea9b43abcc72e8d91d

Skill vs luck

Sore-Role on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$5.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “Sore-Role: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf802a499d7ff91f329dea4ea9b43abcc72e8d91d. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Sore-Role: +$5.0K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.0K
return +63.7%
Settled bets
2
$7.9K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 3 – Sep 17
+$2.1K
Oct 1 – Oct 16
+$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 24 BUY Yes @ 36¢ Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? ↗ $2.8K
Oct 23 SELL No @ 66¢
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? $2.4K
Oct 22 BUY No @ 73¢
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? $1.6K
Oct 19 BUY No @ 82¢
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? $3.1K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 47¢
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 48¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? $2.7K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 71¢
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? $5.2K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed