Aching-Fringe-Triangle
Skill vs luck
Aching-Fringe-Triangle on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Aching-Fringe-Triangle: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf53cb99783884fdf499ce8c2872d686081cf9db1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Aching-Fringe-Triangle: +$1.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$1.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 87¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30? |
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30? | $1.6K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.